5; Over/Under 44. Nov 11, 2021. These are the third and fourth-place teams in the NFC. Following college football betting line movement just means you are tracking the betting lines to identify trends. I can see this line eventually going to EVEN by kickoff. 2023 NFL Week 9 features several exciting matchups to bet on, with some key line movements. The only way to consistently put yourself in a position to gain positive expected value (+EV) while betting on NFL sides is to beat the closing line. Here you will find the latest odds for betting on the NFL with this week’s matchups, data and analysis. 5 FPI favorite: Colts by 0. Live Odds From 50+ Sportsbooks. NFL Betting Resources. ) and varying degrees of impact on the line. m. It's an effort to get ahead of the market movement to land the best number. Betting analysis for the 2023 NFL Football season matchup between Carolina and Miami. Tracking how lines move throughout an NFL week can provide meaningful information to bettors. He is the author of two. We’ve made it to Week 15 of the NFL season. Sportsbooks were largely massive losers this past weekend. Point Spread Line Movement. 5-point underdogs. 5; Over/Under 40; View full Cardinals at Commanders line movement; Arizona is expected to be the worst team in the NFL in 2023 and this. How Our NFL Predictions, Research and Data Make Bettors More Money. 5 | 55. Find the latest NFL lines and data for betting on every football game on the schedule. NFL sports betting terms: Alternate lines: Every NFL game has alternate lines, as sportsbooks post different spreads and totals with adjusted odds. Includes ats, over/under and straight up odds analysis. Week 3 Point Spread Movement Analysis 49ers at Giants. This education comes primarily through line movement on games. 5 to 53. 0. NFL Week 7 Line Movement Analysis: Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023) After three weeks of enjoying NFL London games while we eat breakfast and drink coffee, Week 7 brings some normality back to our lives. Truth be told, both Pittsburgh and Buffalo bring excellent defenses to the table. 5 points per drive, ranking 24th. DAL. CAR. While some of that action can be attributed to other sports and events, the success rate of NFL favorites certainly played a big role. NFL Week 1 Early Lines vs. The team like New England did. This goes for point spreads, moneylines and totals as well. NFL : Scores and Matchups. Refer to the table below for a side-by-side comparison of the opening and current Las Vegas consensus lines for all Week 11 NFL games, including those discussed above. This morning, the line has settled at Eagles -3. Find the latest odds for every team and player at US sportsbooks. The team like New England won the game 57 times (46. The following article highlights some of the most significant and noteworthy NFL line moves and breaks down what might be behind each shift. NFL Betting Line Movement Analysis for Week 11 (2021) While NFL betting underdogs may not have had quite the same outright success last Sunday as they did two weeks ago, it was yet another winning weekend for those teams catching points. Week 11 NFL Odds: Lookahead Lines Report. Whether you're rooting for your favorite team or aiming to make the most informed wagers, BetQL ensures you're equipped with the latest and most accurate. At the outset of the week, the Miami Dolphins were 2. 5. Cardinals at Commanders odds Opening line. 5, but that is not where the line movement is coming from. The 2022 NFL trade deadline has passed. More NFL Betting Advice […] NFL Week 6 Line Movement Analysis (2023) by Charles Cash | @ChucknCash | Oct 13, 2023. As Week 7 approaches, we keep tabs on all the NFL Lines, dissecting any significant move that may have happened early in the week. NFL Week 1 Line Movement Analysis: Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023) Ladies and Gentlemen, the NFL season is finally here! After a long off-season, football is back, and it starts with the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Detroit Lions. Packers at Lions: Best Bets For Thanksgiving Classic. As always, we keep tabs on every NFL game and track all significant line. Track line moves & win probability. Line Movement Analysis: Should Seahawks Fans Be Nervous? Posted: November 5, 2023 | Last updated: November 5, 2023. Tracking how lines move throughout an NFL week can provide meaningful information to bettors. Changes to the odds, point spread, or total for a game indicate that one side has taken a significant amount of money from professional, or “sharp” bettors. Constantly trying to find an edge, Noonan focuses on player props, leveraging lookahead lines, scheduling anomalies, and team totals to try and beat closing lines in the NFL. Tracking how lines move throughout an NFL week can provide meaningful information to bettors. Matchup. The official Week 4 opener pegged the Broncos as 3-point road favorites, which is kind of wild considering Denver just ate a 70-20 loss to Miami. LCS & LEC first-look betting preview. Point Spread Line Movement. This total had a look-ahead line as high as 54. g. 5 Wednesday and spent the past four days toggling between -13. 4-0 in Last 4 FLA O/U Picks. The Detroit Lions opened the 2023 NFL season in stunning fashion, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs 21-20 as 4. 5 (-135) mainly on the health concerns of Matthew Stafford and the momentum of the Bills being the Super Bowl favorite. Includes ats, over/under and straight up odds analysis. In the name of balancing their accounts, sportsbooks react. TEN. Buffalo is averaging 2. This line opened Colts -7. Ravens -8. 7) and 8th in EPA/Play despite playing at the 97th slowest pace in the nation. Thursday Night Football Picks: Get a head start on the NFL week with expert analysis and picks tailored specifically for the highly anticipated Thursday Night games. 5 ( -115) The Ravens were 1. Player Propsheet. 5, and Saints-Bears is down to 41. There are now just two weeks remaining in the NFL regular season. Each game will have its reasoning for movement (e. The Colts have probably fallen the most of any NFL team after the first two weeks. If you haven’t joined in the fun yet, pop on over to SI Sportsbook and put in your free entry today. , injuries, betting activity, weather, etc. m. 5 points but the official Week 9 opener was 50. Track every deal made from the. GB. We can tell you one of the model's strongest Week 6 NFL picks is that the Falcons (-1. Miami is now -14 (-115), while taking 70% of spread tickets. NFL Betting Line Movement Analysis for Week 5 (2021) For the first time all season, NFL betting underdogs suffered a losing week against the spread in Week 4. Line movement refers to a shift in odds or the point spread of a particular game before it is played. Use our line movement tracker to help know what side of the betting line people are taking. Week 13 NFL Betting Line Moves Table. We have witnessed a dominant flip of favorites involving the Cardinals in Week 9 heading into San Francisco. Aaron Rodgers and his new Jets teammates host the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. Betting Models. Results Based on Overall Line Movement About the Spread Movement Data These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game against the closing spread, based. ET Sunday, Sept. com. 26. EDT on Thursday, December 2nd. One of the wildest NFL betting seasons in recent memory has once again seen plenty of line movement ahead of Week 17 action. The look-ahead line in this game was Jets -3 and had moved to -4. 5) cover the spread against the Commanders. 5 and is up a point to 50. Today . Prior to that, the Eagles will be looking to take control of the. 12:30 PM. Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines. NFL Betting Line Movement Analysis for Week 2. Bettors evaluating movement in totals lines should focus their efforts on the total itself, not the odds. Check out BetQL for the latest NFL line movement and use our NFL line movement tracker to find the best time to bet. 5 and has dropped to 37. The MLB Betting Trends is a great snapshot to see what bettors are playing. The only way to consistently put yourself in a position to gain positive expected value (+EV) while betting on NFL sides is to beat the closing line. Eric Froton. Refer to the table below for a side-by-side comparison of the opening and current Las Vegas consensus lines for all Week 9 NFL games, including those discussed above. While some bankrolls are probably looking better than others at this point, it has certainly been a fun season. ) and varying degrees of impact on the line. ; The Lions were +2. 19. I'm trying to understand or find somewhere I can learn, in particular NFL and well all sports, how percentage bet affects line movement. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %. Get the most updated odds, lines, spreads, and. Jets odds analysis. 5 in the NFL odds Week 4 market, and the line went to -3 Wednesday. This education comes primarily through line movement on games. Last year’s record vs. Nov. The Week 14 NFL line movement includes the largest spread of the 2022 NFL season, with the Dallas Cowboys a 17. Browns odds. Falcons odds Opening line. 5, Total Points: 46. The NFL sure came back last week with a bang as far as the betting side of things is concerned! A total of 12 betting underdogs covered the point spread in Week 1. RECORD: 4 - 7 (3 - 3 Road) ATS: 5 - 5 - 1 (5 - 1 - 0 Road). This is dynamic data that can change at any time, so keep in mind that the analysis below was relevant as of Thursday afternoon. You can also use the tabs below to find. 5) We round out our NFL betting line movement analysis for Week 4 with another total that has taken a nosedive. This line opened Bills -1 (-110) and has climbed to -2. 8 points per drive, second most in the league, while the Jaguars average 1. With so much money already bet on the Bills, if this line were to go to -3, you would have people. But the number fell back this afternoon, making stops at Cleveland -2. The three Thanksgiving Day games are not included. In addition to the impact of injuries and virus protocols, respective playoff scenarios also tend to impact the market. +290. Last week we used a combination of cost-per-point and intra-game disparity to peg the Giants’ line for a collapse and nailed it. 320-pound former Oklahoma State player is at his third starting position in three NFL seasons but left. 5% of the time since 2000. 5. With Week 9 approaching, we are all sitting on the edge of our seats as the NFL Trade Deadline expires at 4 p. 5,. "Not much action on this game so far, but I expect. Alabama vs Auburn Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Fade the. TeamRankings; BetIQ; PoolGenius. 5-point favorites, the line was pushed through 0, climbing as high as the Packers being favored by 2 points. Today . Aaron Rodgers and his new Jets teammates host the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. 1 points and 344 yards per game this year, 16 points and 99 yards less than their 2022 iteration. The table below is intended to summarize the home team spread and total movement for this week’s games to help provide context for any significant movements. Week 12 of the NFL season may be one of the best weeks of the year. Ravens line movement; Read our Colts vs. 34 moves per game. UPDATE 5 P. Line Movement. Note: All current odds reflect lines at 3 p. Line Movement Alert: Opened Cowboys -10. TeamRankings; BetIQ; PoolGenius. 1 day ago · Mike Fisher - as a newspaper beat writer and columnist and on radio and TV, where he is an Emmy winner - has covered the NFL since 1983 and the Dallas Cowboys since 1990. 4-1 in Last 5 FLA Picks. Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. All votes are cast at the lines shown. (Lines per DraftKings Sportsbook | Line movement via @betstamp | Open odds as of Monday morning | Current odds as of Thursday morning) NFL Line Movement - Super Bowl 57; Game Opening Line Current Line; Chiefs vs Eagles odds & picks here. 0 but was immediately brought back down. Key matchup: Jordan Love vs. Tracking line movement for Minnesota-Iowa and more. Nov. You may also want to throttle those ratings in divisional matchups, since those rivals know each other well and often play tighter games (divisional underdogs covering 52. Current: Bears -3. Money Line: Carolina Panthers (+700) ; Miami Dolphins (-1100) Total: 47. In last week's lookaheads, I was bullish on taking early action on the Eagles (moved from -4 to -6) and Chiefs (moved from -6. Game; 1st Half; 2nd Half; 1st Quarter; 2nd Quarter; 3rd Quarter; 4th Quarter. Covers NFL betting analysis. The line on the Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals game opened at Dallas -2. New York Giants vs. While some of that action can be attributed to other sports and events, the success rate of NFL favorites certainly played a big role. Click the follow checkbox to add the matchup to My Scores. 0 Claim Offer Read Review 3 10 Second Chance Bets. Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement. But when one team puts up 70 points and the other has put up 30-plus points in the last two weeks, this is what. Here are some notes on these teams heading into Week 4. In general, lines become more sharp throughout the week as the sportsbook collects more information. 9:30 AM. The Dallas-Philadelphia game went from 51 points down to 46. You can find more of him @RyNoonan on Twitter. Betting analysis for the 2021 NFL Football season matchup between San Francisco and Detroit. This information can be used to make more informed bets. Every week, we curate and present the freshest data for football enthusiasts and bettors alike. injuries, betting activity, weather, etc. UPDATE 12:30 P. The Rams will host the Seahawks while the Bills travel to Arizona to face the Cardinals, with both of those games are in the 4 p. NFL Line Movement Analysis By Jim Beviglia Published: Oct 22, 2018, Updated: Aug 14, 2023 Bettors will hear the advice “bet against the public” again and. 5; Opened: 37 FPI favorite: Falcons by 0. For the third straight week, favorites dominated the action, and bettors were big winners along with them. - Line opened up at BAL -3- Line is now ATL -1. At halftime, the Dallas offense was averaging 10. Game. 5, Total Points: 46 Matchup Menu: SF @ DET. Check out BetQL for the latest NFL line movement and use our NFL line movement tracker to find the best time to bet. Includes the odds, moneyline, and over/under on the current and opening line. NFL Week 1 Line Movement. For games that have experienced especially significant or interesting movement, analysis of and reasoning for the changes are included in the sections below. Click the follow checkbox to add the matchup to My Scores. NFL Week 4 Line Movement: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills. Injuries have dominated the storylines around this week’s 49ers-Giants game. Props Preview Trends Consensus Line Movement. 5; Over/Under 44. There are two types of bettors who frequent online sportsbooks: the public and the sharps. Since 1999, we’ve been doing nothing but gathering live odds and betting trends data. BAL +3. News & Analysis; NFL Contest; Super Bowl; Injuries; Teams; Players;. Vikings vs. $1,000 First Bet on Caesars. In general, lines become more sharp throughout the week as the sportsbook collects more information. Betting analysis for the 2022 NFL Football season matchup between Buffalo and NY Jets. Falcons -1; Over/Under 41. 5. That's due largely to Browns QB Deshaun Watson (shoulder) being listed as questionable. Packers vs. Arizona, coming off an upset home loss to. Analyzing line movements (with examples) I've been pretty interested in NFL line movements and how sharp bets move the lines and such. The longest odds, the shortest spread, the biggest total and the lines that have moved the most. Betting analysis for the 2023 College Football season matchup between Pittsburgh and Duke. The Packers come in off a Thursday night loss at home to the Titans 27-17, while Eagles barely survived on the road against the Colts 17-16. Thursday . 5. Donnie, Kevin and Joe preview the NFL's Week 9 slate. NFL Week 6 Line Movement: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts . ET WEDNESDAY: The Eagles are up a notch in TwinSpires' NFL odds Week 5 market, moving from -4 to -4. 5 despite them being one of the most bet on sides of the week. 7%). Line Movement Analysis for Week 11. NFL Week 1 Early Lines vs. Opening line. VSIN is The Sports Betting Network, with expert analysts including Brent Musburger, live Vegas odds, sports betting lines and data for every sport so you can bet on sports with confidence. There's an advantage in getting to these NFL odds early and trying to beat any line movement when betting on NFL markets. Basically, I'm parlaying my handicap. Big Blue went on to lose by 15, which ironically improved their league-worst -18. See real-time player props. As of Tuesday morning, five games had a significant movement worth noting. 5 home favorite and have seen their odds climb to -8. How the Lines are Moving Spreads Detroit Lions (+1. Some bookmakers in Las Vegas are calling these last three weeks unprecedented. Lions -5. Check out all of our NFL game previews and picks for the week >> Week 9 NFL Betting Line Moves Table. CIN. Opening line: Chiefs -2. 5 close, with the total. 5 (Thursday) This game features one of the most notable line discrepancies of. Line Movement Analysis: Should Seahawks Fans Be Nervous? Donnie, Kevin and Joe preview the NFL's Week 9 slate. Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement. 5. ) and varying degrees of impact on the line. m. Add in the fact that 12 of 16 games figure to play at least some role in the outcome of postseason positioning, and it’s a formula for manufacturing line movement. But opinion is split, with 66% of spread tickets on the Lions/57% of spread dollars on the Ravens. In preparation to go into in-depth analysis of this week’s line movement,. You can also go mobile and easily. 5 | 55. The NFL Week 1 betting lines have been out since May, but how have the. Biggest needs: OT, IOL, TE, Edge, DT Week 12 opponent: at Seahawks San Francisco did not select any offensive linemen in this year's draft, likely with the. Full Line Movement. 5 | 48. 5; Opened: 38. Underdogs are thriving so far in 2022, barking to the tune of a 45-30-3 ATS mark entering this week (59. 5; Opened: 41. Betting analysis for the 2022 NFL Football season matchup between Buffalo and NY Jets. Sportsbooks gradually increase the limits they let bettors get down as the week progresses, indicating that the book feels they've priced the game correctly. UPDATE 11 A. CAR. For games that have experienced especially significant or interesting movement, analysis of and reasoning for the changes are included in the sections below. This line has been dropping across the industry after opening as high as Jaguars +4, but there are a. NBA Odds and Live Movement. As for the Seattle Seahawks, they lost to the Los Angeles Rams 30-13 as 4. Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy. TwinSpires' total opened at 49. 5; Over/Under 51; View full Seahawks vs Lions line movement; Read our Seahawks vs Lions picks and predictions ; After an impressive Week 1 win at. 0-2. Reaction. He incorporates detailed modeling of play-by-play data and customized charting data in order to uncover the latest NFL trends and insights. In general, lines become more sharp throughout the week as the sportsbook collects more information. Defensively they’re allowing 8. 5 on September 11 and have moved to -6. Oddly enough, it came in the same weekend when three dogs of at least 4. m. NBA: Scores & Matchups. In these games: The team like Miami won the game 63 times (51. He is the host of our flagship betting podcast, Move The Line NFL. Betting analysis for the 2022 NFL Football season matchup between Jacksonville and Kansas City. This information can help you make more informed betting decisions. These are the third and fourth-place teams in the NFC. Miscellaneous Line Movements: Surprisingly there was very little movement in the rest of the futures markets in the past 10 days but one team did have some movement, the Dallas Cowboys. After six weeks of NFL action, sports bettors continue to witness underdogs holding the edge in the wagering outcome with a 50-42 mark (56%) Against The Spread (ATS). 5 last week, and is now even more in the -1. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:15 p. Some are already […]Playing a trend. Nov 23 Fri. injuries, betting activity, weather, etc. The Broncos get a mini-bye after losing to Kansas City last Thursday while the Packers have had two weeks to heal up and prep for Week 7. Since posting the line late Sunday night, this. ET WEDNESDAY: The Eagles are up a notch in TwinSpires' NFL odds Week 5 market, moving from -4 to -4. DAL. Tmrw . 47. You can also go mobile and easily. "The public is all over the Lions. Each game will have its reasoning for movement (e. 5) cover at home against the Commanders. Customized picks for NFL and college football pick’em contests (weekly and season long). By Saturday, that line was down to 6. Super Bowl Winner: +3000 to +3500 Conference Winner: +1500 to +1600 Division Winner: +130 to +150It's all here in our Week 4 NFL line movement analysis. Published September 19, 2023 07:57 AM. The Green Bay Packers take on the Los Angeles Rams, and the status of the Rams’ quarterback Matthew Stafford will determine how to approach the. Get SPORTS ILLUSTRATED's . An example from last year is Davante Adams. 5 within a couple of hours, then returned to -7 in fairly short order. The Spread percentage is for the point-spread, while the ML is for money-line wagers, and that field usually skews heavily to favorites since not many bettors expect huge upsets, especially when the point-spread is. In-Depth Analysis, Unrivaled Access. m. Opened: LAC -1. Top Week 6 NFL predictions. Lines for opening day games were set by Vegas months ago, but there still continues to be significant movement as gameday approaches. 2023-2024 Gametime All Conferences My Scores. Vikings-Packers is down to 48, Titans-Bengals is down to 50, Raiders-Browns is down to 47. NFL Betting Line Movement Analysis for Week 14 (2021) In an NFL season that upsets and parity have defined, last week saw most results chalk in terms of outright winners. Upcoming Match-ups. Betting analysis for the 2022 NFL Football season matchup between Cincinnati and Cleveland. QB Deshaun Watson returned to practice on a limited basis for the first time in a few weeks due to a throwing shoulder injury. NFL Week 7 odd and lines. The look-ahead line for the second Germany showcase was. NFL Week 1 Line Movement: Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams . 5 (Thursday) This game features one of the most notable line discrepancies of rivalry week, with Circa and FD presenting a 4-point arbitrage opportunity between their initial drops. 5 points from the opening number of 51. Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement. 0-point home favorites. NFL Week 9 Line Movement Analysis: Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023) by Kurt Blakeway |Oct 31, 2023. Early lines came out right after the NFL schedule was release in mid-May at online sportsbooks. This morning, the line has settled at Eagles -3. Top NFL Bettor Picks; NFL Prop Bet Analyzer; NFL Week 3 Line Movement (2023) Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Customized picks for NFL and college football pick’em contests (weekly and season long). 5 points. What is an NFL Line Movement Tracker? An NFL line movement tracker is a tool that tracks the opening line compared to the closing line. Pick Made: 7:59 am UTC. Panthers line movement. Line Movement Analysis: Should Seahawks Fans Be Nervous? Posted: November 5, 2023 | Last updated: November 5, 2023. M. The Packers come in off a Thursday night loss at home to the Titans 27-17, while Eagles barely survived on the road against the Colts 17-16. Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets. When considering the players who are injured or in the league’s “health and safety protocols,” it makes sense that several games have seen. 5. Betting Nuggets. Detroit, the worst team in the NFL at 1-11-1, has actually rewarded bettors with a 8-5 ATS mark. New York, which ranks last in points scored (13. Open: DET -4. It is hard to see a game line move more than 6 points so if. EDT on Thursday,. Some teams need to pick up one final win to secure a postseason berth. It's all here in our Week 6 NFL line movement analysis. Money Line: Indianapolis Colts (-125) ; New England Patriots (+105) Total: 42. 5. The hope is that Smith will be able to take part in practice on Wednesday. ET WEDNESDAY: Baltimore opened -2. Tracking how lines move throughout an NFL week can provide meaningful information to bettors. Love looked great for Green Bay in his second career start, averaging 16. The 49ers moved from +3. Changes to the odds, point spread, or total for a game indicate that one side has taken a significant amount of money. Point Spread Line Movement. Dallas is now the 4. In addition to the impact of injuries and virus protocols, respective playoff scenarios also tend to impact the market. NFL Week 1 Odds. In Week 4, the Washington Football Team will head on the road to take on Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons. The total has also dropped from 44. Bet the best NFL odds & betting lines for Week 1 2 by comparing live Football moneyline, spread, and Over/Under odds from online sportsbooks. Week 1 odds and line movement; Super Bowl odds; NFL MVP odds;. M.